Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 10
FMP BeogradHOME · -
111 : 752022.12.13 · 종료
CibonaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.6%
VALUE EDGE+73.6%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEB
FMP BeogradAnalysis MetricsCibona
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-4.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.00
159.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.50
25.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
10.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
9.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FMP Beograd
L · 103-97W · 89-77W · 101-97W · 85-90W · 96-91
Cibona
L · 78-90L · 97-76L · 92-53W · 87-85W · 91-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.12.13 | FMP Beograd | 111 : 75 | Cibona |
| 2022.03.14 | FMP Beograd | 76 : 71 | Cibona |
| 2021.11.21 | Cibona | 66 : 69 | FMP Beograd |