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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

ABA League Europe · 9
Mega BasketHOME · -
86 : 742022.12.04 · 종료
Borac MozzartAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.6%
VALUE EDGE+58.6%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEA
Mega BasketAnalysis MetricsBorac Mozzart
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-4.75 Point MarginHigher is better +0.25
172.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.08
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
5.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.6 / 15
Prediction separation7.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
41.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mega Basket
L · 94-82W · 85-101W · 101-74L · 86-76L · 96-90
Borac Mozzart
W · 90-87L · 93-84L · 62-81L · 87-85L · 90-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.04.27Borac Mozzart89 : 98Mega Basket
2026.03.15Mega Basket95 : 77Borac Mozzart
2023.03.20Borac Mozzart80 : 86Mega Basket
2022.12.04Mega Basket86 : 74Borac Mozzart
2022.01.23Mega Basket85 : 91Borac Mozzart
2021.10.18Borac Mozzart80 : 68Mega Basket