Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

ABA League Europe · 9

ZadarHOME · -

103 : 972022.12.03 · 종료

FMP BeogradAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY52.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +52.3%

VALUE EDGE+52.3%

FAIR ODDS1.91

GRADEA

ZadarAnalysis MetricsFMP Beograd

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+13.08 Point MarginHigher is better -4.50

157.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.67

100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%

5.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.8 / 15

Prediction separation2.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

47.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

52.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Zadar

L · 97-79L · 103-104W · 96-98L · 74-76W · 96-90

FMP Beograd

W · 89-77W · 101-97W · 85-90W · 96-91L · 83-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.15	Zadar	76 : 65	FMP Beograd
2026.04.01	FMP Beograd	85 : 55	Zadar
2023.03.18	FMP Beograd	112 : 87	Zadar
2022.12.03	Zadar	103 : 97	FMP Beograd
2022.02.07	Zadar	83 : 80	FMP Beograd
2021.10.31	FMP Beograd	83 : 76	Zadar