Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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ABA League Europe · 8

FMP BeogradHOME · -

89 : 772022.11.28 · 종료

IgokeaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY45.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +55.0%

VALUE EDGE+55.0%

FAIR ODDS1.82

GRADEA

FMP BeogradAnalysis MetricsIgokea

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-4.50 Point MarginHigher is better -1.67

159.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.83

25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

9.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.1 / 15

Prediction separation4.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

55.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

45.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

FMP Beograd

W · 101-97W · 85-90W · 96-91L · 83-77W · 90-73

Igokea

L · 74-85W · 103-101L · 70-76W · 68-77W · 90-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.12.21	FMP Beograd	69 : 85	Igokea
2025.10.04	Igokea	92 : 88	FMP Beograd
2023.03.12	Igokea	77 : 70	FMP Beograd
2022.11.28	FMP Beograd	89 : 77	Igokea
2022.02.04	Igokea	73 : 61	FMP Beograd
2021.10.02	FMP Beograd	89 : 81	Igokea