Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 7
Mornar BarHOME · -
85 : 1012022.11.21 · 종료
Mega BasketAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.2%
VALUE EDGE+60.2%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
Mornar BarAnalysis MetricsMega Basket
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-5.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.75
166.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.58
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation8.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mornar Bar
W · 77-94L · 75-86L · 62-83L · 91-88W · 100-91
Mega Basket
W · 101-74L · 86-76L · 96-90L · 76-87L · 90-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.07 | Mega Basket | 89 : 78 | Mornar Bar |
| 2022.11.21 | Mornar Bar | 85 : 101 | Mega Basket |
| 2022.03.20 | Mega Basket | 70 : 83 | Mornar Bar |
| 2021.12.05 | Mornar Bar | 79 : 75 | Mega Basket |