Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 6
MZT SkopjeHOME · -
77 : 942022.11.05 · 종료
Mornar BarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.1%
VALUE EDGE+71.1%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEB
MZT SkopjeAnalysis MetricsMornar Bar
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-5.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.50
153.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.00
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
MZT Skopje
W · 77-58L · 93-73W · 47-66W · 92-79L · 79-80
Mornar Bar
L · 75-86L · 62-83L · 91-88W · 100-91W · 83-91
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.11 | Mornar Bar | 93 : 84 | MZT Skopje |
| 2022.11.05 | MZT Skopje | 77 : 94 | Mornar Bar |