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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

ABA League Europe · 5
Mornar BarHOME · -
75 : 862022.10.31 · 종료
Studentski CentarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.7%
VALUE EDGE+62.7%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADES
Mornar BarAnalysis MetricsStudentski Centar
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-5.50 Point MarginHigher is better -3.08
166.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.42
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation10.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mornar Bar
L · 62-83L · 91-88W · 100-91W · 83-91L · 91-78
Studentski Centar
W · 86-75L · 92-79W · 93-73L · 91-82W · 72-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.05.04Mornar Bar82 : 96Studentski Centar
2023.05.01Studentski Centar109 : 71Mornar Bar
2023.02.06Studentski Centar94 : 74Mornar Bar
2022.10.31Mornar Bar75 : 86Studentski Centar
2022.04.10Mornar Bar82 : 88Studentski Centar
2021.12.26Studentski Centar76 : 95Mornar Bar