Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 4
Crvena Zvezda MeridianbetHOME · -
83 : 772022.10.25 · 종료
FMP BeogradAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.0%
VALUE EDGE+74.0%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADES
Crvena Zvezda MeridianbetAnalysis MetricsFMP Beograd
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-6.42
170.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.92
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet
W · 69-65W · 87-67W · 80-77L · 112-84L · 70-67
FMP Beograd
W · 90-73W · 84-85W · 90-76L · 74-79L · 76-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.05 | FMP Beograd | 90 : 89 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet |
| 2023.01.29 | FMP Beograd | 84 : 99 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet |
| 2022.10.25 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 83 : 77 | FMP Beograd |
| 2022.04.12 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 90 : 82 | FMP Beograd |
| 2021.12.26 | FMP Beograd | 74 : 98 | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet |