Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 3
FMP BeogradHOME · -
90 : 732022.10.18 · 종료
SplitAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 78.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.5%
VALUE EDGE+75.5%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADEA
FMP BeogradAnalysis MetricsSplit
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-6.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.92
162.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.58
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
9.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
10.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FMP Beograd
W · 84-85W · 90-76L · 74-79L · 76-70L · 75-77
Split
L · 77-95L · 94-59L · 61-72L · 80-92W · 81-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.01.13 | Split | 76 : 85 | FMP Beograd |
| 2025.12.08 | FMP Beograd | 96 : 80 | Split |
| 2023.01.21 | Split | 91 : 95 | FMP Beograd |
| 2022.10.18 | FMP Beograd | 90 : 73 | Split |
| 2021.12.15 | FMP Beograd | 93 : 77 | Split |