Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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ABA League Europe · 3

CibonaHOME · -

91 : 882022.10.15 · 종료

Mornar BarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY46.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +53.8%

VALUE EDGE+53.8%

FAIR ODDS1.86

GRADEA

CibonaAnalysis MetricsMornar Bar

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

+1.50 Point MarginHigher is better -5.50

173.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.00

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.5 / 15

Prediction separation3.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

53.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

46.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Cibona

L · 97-84L · 81-105W · 80-73L · 98-77W · 80-84

Mornar Bar

W · 100-91W · 83-91L · 91-78W · 74-65L · 82-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.01.21	Mornar Bar	83 : 81	Cibona
2022.10.15	Cibona	91 : 88	Mornar Bar
2022.01.03	Cibona	65 : 82	Mornar Bar
2021.09.25	Mornar Bar	77 : 87	Cibona
2017.01.04	Mornar Bar	81 : 92	Cibona
2016.11.10	Cibona	90 : 72	Mornar Bar