Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

ABA League Europe · 2

Mornar BarHOME · -

100 : 912022.10.10 · 종료

ZadarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY36.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +63.2%

VALUE EDGE+63.2%

FAIR ODDS1.58

GRADEB

Mornar BarAnalysis MetricsZadar

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-5.50 Point MarginHigher is better +13.08

166.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.58

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

8.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 9.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.5 / 15

Prediction separation11.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

63.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

36.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mornar Bar

W · 83-91L · 91-78W · 74-65L · 82-88L · 95-83

Zadar

W · 96-67L · 80-73L · 71-76W · 80-92L · 81-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.01.16	Zadar	97 : 77	Mornar Bar
2022.10.10	Mornar Bar	100 : 91	Zadar
2022.03.28	Mornar Bar	86 : 84	Zadar
2021.12.13	Zadar	71 : 76	Mornar Bar