Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 2
Mega BasketHOME · -
76 : 872022.10.09 · 종료
IgokeaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.3%
VALUE EDGE+60.3%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
Mega BasketAnalysis MetricsIgokea
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-4.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.67
172.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
166.83
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
5.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation8.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mega Basket
L · 90-76W · 62-79L · 68-97W · 81-85L · 81-80
Igokea
L · 83-91L · 69-74L · 93-79L · 85-66W · 108-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.10.09 | Mega Basket | 76 : 87 | Igokea |
| 2022.03.06 | Mega Basket | 71 : 81 | Igokea |
| 2021.11.15 | Igokea | 79 : 63 | Mega Basket |