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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

ABA League Europe · 2
Borac MozzartHOME · -
84 : 852022.10.09 · 종료
FMP BeogradAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +52.4%
VALUE EDGE+52.4%
FAIR ODDS1.91
GRADEA
Borac MozzartAnalysis MetricsFMP Beograd
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+0.25 Point MarginHigher is better -6.42
169.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 162.92
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
5.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation2.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
47.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
52.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Borac Mozzart
L · 98-81W · 66-87W · 85-80W · 91-78L · 54-66
FMP Beograd
W · 90-76L · 74-79L · 76-70L · 75-77L · 90-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.24Borac Mozzart95 : 87FMP Beograd
2026.02.03FMP Beograd73 : 82Borac Mozzart
2025.11.04Borac Mozzart74 : 83FMP Beograd
2023.01.14FMP Beograd107 : 81Borac Mozzart
2022.10.09Borac Mozzart84 : 85FMP Beograd
2022.03.27FMP Beograd90 : 82Borac Mozzart
2021.12.11Borac Mozzart77 : 80FMP Beograd