Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
ABA League
Europe · 1
FMP BeogradHOME · -
90 : 762022.10.04 · 종료
Mega BasketAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.4%
VALUE EDGE+57.4%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
FMP BeogradAnalysis MetricsMega Basket
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-6.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.75
162.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.58
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation6.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
FMP Beograd
L · 74-79L · 76-70L · 75-77L · 90-82L · 77-79
Mega Basket
W · 62-79L · 68-97W · 81-85L · 81-80L · 70-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.28 | Mega Basket | 79 : 84 | FMP Beograd |
| 2026.02.16 | FMP Beograd | 102 : 87 | Mega Basket |
| 2023.01.08 | Mega Basket | 77 : 72 | FMP Beograd |
| 2022.10.04 | FMP Beograd | 90 : 76 | Mega Basket |
| 2022.01.30 | FMP Beograd | 79 : 86 | Mega Basket |
| 2021.10.24 | Mega Basket | 82 : 89 | FMP Beograd |