Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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ABA League Europe · 1

IgokeaHOME · -

83 : 912022.10.01 · 종료

Mornar BarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY37.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +62.2%

VALUE EDGE+62.2%

FAIR ODDS1.61

GRADEB

IgokeaAnalysis MetricsMornar Bar

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-1.67 Point MarginHigher is better -5.50

166.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.00

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.8 / 15

Prediction separation10.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

62.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

37.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Igokea

L · 69-74L · 93-79L · 85-66W · 108-81W · 77-82

Mornar Bar

L · 91-78W · 74-65L · 82-88L · 95-83W · 86-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.24	Mornar Bar	74 : 86	Igokea
2022.10.01	Igokea	83 : 91	Mornar Bar
2022.02.13	Igokea	70 : 57	Mornar Bar
2016.09.30	Mornar Bar	83 : 60	Igokea
2016.09.28	Igokea	71 : 69	Mornar Bar