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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Korvpalli Meistriliiga Estonia · Korvpalli Meistriliiga - 3rd place
BC KalevHOME · -
79 : 682022.05.25 · 종료
Tal TechAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 82.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +81.9%
VALUE EDGE+81.9%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEA
BC KalevAnalysis MetricsTal Tech
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+0.83 Point MarginHigher is better +1.50
168.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 135.00
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 62.5%
2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
81.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
18.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BC Kalev
W · 63-77W · 85-75L · 73-82L · 98-70L · 70-91
Tal Tech
L · 63-77L · 85-75L · 85-90L · 77-62L · 67-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.01.28BC Kalev81 : 63Tal Tech
2023.12.30Tal Tech64 : 67BC Kalev
2023.03.20Tal Tech84 : 102BC Kalev
2022.12.23BC Kalev105 : 69Tal Tech
2022.05.25BC Kalev79 : 68Tal Tech
2022.05.22Tal Tech63 : 77BC Kalev
2022.05.20BC Kalev85 : 75Tal Tech
2022.03.12Tal Tech78 : 84BC Kalev
2019.01.06Tal Tech66 : 100BC Kalev
2018.10.18BC Kalev107 : 68Tal Tech