Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Estonia · Korvpalli Meistriliiga - Semi-finals
Tartu UlikoolHOME · -
77 : 622022.05.12 · 종료
Tal TechAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.0%
VALUE EDGE+62.0%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEA
Tartu UlikoolAnalysis MetricsTal Tech
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-4.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.50
173.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
135.00
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
62.5%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.3 / 15
Prediction separation10.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tartu Ulikool
W · 67-75W · 69-68W · 75-82W · 83-79L · 83-87
Tal Tech
L · 67-75W · 75-83W · 71-76W · 110-63L · 77-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.25 | Tartu Ulikool | 65 : 41 | Tal Tech |
| 2024.03.21 | Tal Tech | 83 : 87 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2023.11.25 | Tartu Ulikool | 65 : 73 | Tal Tech |
| 2023.02.09 | Tartu Ulikool | 83 : 53 | Tal Tech |
| 2022.10.06 | Tal Tech | 69 : 81 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2022.05.14 | Tal Tech | 85 : 90 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2022.05.12 | Tartu Ulikool | 77 : 62 | Tal Tech |
| 2022.05.08 | Tal Tech | 67 : 75 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2022.03.17 | Tal Tech | 84 : 80 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2021.03.01 | Tal Tech | 78 : 95 | Tartu Ulikool |