Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Estonia · Korvpalli Meistriliiga - Quarter-finals
RaplaHOME · -
76 : 862022.05.05 · 종료
ParnuAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.5%
VALUE EDGE+62.5%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
RaplaAnalysis MetricsParnu
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.83
149.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.00
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.4 / 15
Prediction separation10.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rapla
L · 97-81W · 80-67L · 75-64W · 77-76L · 79-72
Parnu
W · 97-81L · 80-67W · 75-64W · 107-76L · 64-91
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.18 | Parnu | 66 : 61 | Rapla |
| 2023.01.25 | Rapla | 73 : 76 | Parnu |
| 2022.11.27 | Parnu | 66 : 81 | Rapla |
| 2022.05.05 | Rapla | 76 : 86 | Parnu |
| 2022.05.03 | Parnu | 97 : 81 | Rapla |
| 2022.04.30 | Rapla | 80 : 67 | Parnu |
| 2022.04.28 | Parnu | 75 : 64 | Rapla |
| 2022.04.19 | Parnu | 79 : 72 | Rapla |
| 2021.05.05 | Parnu | 67 : 60 | Rapla |
| 2021.05.01 | Rapla | 72 : 79 | Parnu |