Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Estonia · Korvpalli Meistriliiga - Quarter-finals
Tallinna KalevHOME · -
75 : 832022.05.04 · 종료
Tal TechAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.2%
VALUE EDGE+59.2%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
Tallinna KalevAnalysis MetricsTal Tech
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-13.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.50
163.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
135.00
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
62.5%
2.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.8 / 15
Prediction separation7.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tallinna Kalev
L · 71-76L · 110-63L · 107-76L · 108-77L · 74-68
Tal Tech
W · 71-76W · 110-63L · 77-62W · 89-87W · 74-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.08 | Tal Tech | 105 : 74 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2023.10.30 | Tallinna Kalev | 73 : 82 | Tal Tech |
| 2023.03.12 | Tallinna Kalev | 79 : 62 | Tal Tech |
| 2022.11.03 | Tal Tech | 78 : 83 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2022.05.04 | Tallinna Kalev | 75 : 83 | Tal Tech |
| 2022.05.01 | Tallinna Kalev | 71 : 76 | Tal Tech |
| 2022.04.30 | Tal Tech | 110 : 63 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2022.04.14 | Tal Tech | 74 : 68 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2019.05.01 | Tal Tech | 92 : 97 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2019.04.27 | Tallinna Kalev | 94 : 86 | Tal Tech |