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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Korvpalli Meistriliiga Estonia
Tal TechHOME · -
89 : 872022.04.16 · 종료
RaplaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME36.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK AWAY 58.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +63.2%
VALUE EDGE+63.2%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEA
Tal TechAnalysis MetricsRapla
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+1.50 Point MarginHigher is better -3.58
135.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.25
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation11.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
36.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
63.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tal Tech
W · 74-68L · 90-73W · 93-72W · 84-80L · 78-84
Rapla
L · 85-78L · 84-64L · 66-88W · 79-69W · 84-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.12.23Rapla80 : 79Tal Tech
2023.10.26Tal Tech86 : 79Rapla
2023.02.19Rapla83 : 70Tal Tech
2022.10.01Tal Tech83 : 89Rapla
2022.04.16Tal Tech89 : 87Rapla
2021.02.24Tal Tech71 : 87Rapla
2019.02.03Tal Tech82 : 78Rapla
2018.11.04Rapla71 : 89Tal Tech