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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Korvpalli Meistriliiga Estonia
Tartu UlikoolHOME · -
89 : 912022.04.16 · 종료
ParnuAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME31.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY69.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +69.0%
VALUE EDGE+69.0%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEA
Tartu UlikoolAnalysis MetricsParnu
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-4.17 Point MarginHigher is better -4.83
173.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.00
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
31.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
69.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tartu Ulikool
W · 89-98L · 84-80W · 80-92L · 83-55L · 54-74
Parnu
L · 92-85W · 62-109W · 90-73L · 86-82W · 67-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.08Parnu84 : 82Tartu Ulikool
2023.12.17Tartu Ulikool88 : 78Parnu
2023.02.15Tartu Ulikool79 : 68Parnu
2022.05.27Parnu73 : 60Tartu Ulikool
2022.05.24Tartu Ulikool68 : 69Parnu
2022.05.21Parnu93 : 88Tartu Ulikool
2022.04.16Tartu Ulikool89 : 91Parnu
2021.03.28Tartu Ulikool77 : 89Parnu
2021.03.07Parnu84 : 62Tartu Ulikool
2019.03.10Tartu Ulikool52 : 68Parnu