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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Korvpalli Meistriliiga Estonia
Tal TechHOME · -
74 : 682022.04.14 · 종료
Tallinna KalevAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +51.8%
VALUE EDGE+51.8%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
Tal TechAnalysis MetricsTallinna Kalev
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+1.50 Point MarginHigher is better -13.83
135.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.17
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.4 / 15
Prediction separation1.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
48.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
51.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tal Tech
L · 90-73W · 93-72W · 84-80L · 78-84L · 69-71
Tallinna Kalev
W · 84-64W · 88-69W · 87-81L · 80-92L · 68-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.02.08Tal Tech105 : 74Tallinna Kalev
2023.10.30Tallinna Kalev73 : 82Tal Tech
2023.03.12Tallinna Kalev79 : 62Tal Tech
2022.11.03Tal Tech78 : 83Tallinna Kalev
2022.05.04Tallinna Kalev75 : 83Tal Tech
2022.05.01Tallinna Kalev71 : 76Tal Tech
2022.04.30Tal Tech110 : 63Tallinna Kalev
2022.04.14Tal Tech74 : 68Tallinna Kalev
2019.05.01Tal Tech92 : 97Tallinna Kalev
2019.04.27Tallinna Kalev94 : 86Tal Tech