Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Estonia
BC KalevHOME · -
85 : 782022.04.14 · 종료
RaplaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME82.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 82.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+82.1%
VALUE EDGE+82.1%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEA
BC KalevAnalysis MetricsRapla
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+0.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.58
168.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.25
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BC Kalev
W · 71-85W · 95-60W · 78-84W · 70-96W · 68-53
Rapla
L · 84-64L · 66-88W · 79-69W · 84-81W · 71-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.25 | BC Kalev | 82 : 54 | Rapla |
| 2023.10.28 | Rapla | 67 : 71 | BC Kalev |
| 2023.03.02 | BC Kalev | 77 : 83 | Rapla |
| 2022.11.06 | Rapla | 67 : 79 | BC Kalev |
| 2022.04.14 | BC Kalev | 85 : 78 | Rapla |
| 2019.03.14 | Rapla | 77 : 84 | BC Kalev |
| 2018.10.20 | BC Kalev | 81 : 68 | Rapla |
| 2016.10.29 | BC Kalev | 82 : 55 | Rapla |