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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Korvpalli Meistriliiga Estonia
Rakvere TarvasHOME · -
89 : 982022.04.14 · 종료
Tartu UlikoolAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME36.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY63.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 58.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +63.4%
VALUE EDGE+63.4%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADES
Rakvere TarvasAnalysis MetricsTartu Ulikool
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-16.33 Point MarginHigher is better -4.17
169.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.00
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation11.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
36.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
63.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rakvere Tarvas
L · 62-109L · 88-69L · 93-72L · 95-60L · 79-69
Tartu Ulikool
L · 84-80W · 80-92L · 83-55L · 54-74W · 67-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.12Rakvere Tarvas87 : 99Tartu Ulikool
2022.11.06Tartu Ulikool98 : 76Rakvere Tarvas
2022.04.14Rakvere Tarvas89 : 98Tartu Ulikool
2021.04.08Rakvere Tarvas80 : 76Tartu Ulikool
2014.12.22Tartu Ulikool84 : 66Rakvere Tarvas
2013.12.22Tartu Ulikool97 : 70Rakvere Tarvas