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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Korvpalli Meistriliiga Estonia
Tallinna KalevHOME · -
88 : 692022.04.03 · 종료
Rakvere TarvasAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.1%
VALUE EDGE+54.1%
FAIR ODDS1.85
GRADEB
Tallinna KalevAnalysis MetricsRakvere Tarvas
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-13.83 Point MarginHigher is better -16.33
163.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.00
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
11.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.0 / 15
Prediction separation3.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
45.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tallinna Kalev
W · 87-81L · 80-92L · 68-78L · 88-76L · 86-61
Rakvere Tarvas
L · 93-72L · 95-60L · 79-69L · 84-81L · 71-74

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.20Rakvere Tarvas83 : 106Tallinna Kalev
2023.01.26Tallinna Kalev92 : 59Rakvere Tarvas
2022.04.03Tallinna Kalev88 : 69Rakvere Tarvas
2021.04.10Rakvere Tarvas86 : 89Tallinna Kalev