Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Estonia
Tal TechHOME · -
78 : 842022.03.12 · 종료
BC KalevAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME12.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY87.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 88.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+87.7%
VALUE EDGE+87.7%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEB
Tal TechAnalysis MetricsBC Kalev
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+3.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.83
135.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
168.33
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tal Tech
L · 69-71L · 86-75L · 83-95L · 101-73L · 90-77
BC Kalev
W · 70-96W · 68-53W · 80-85L · 76-81W · 91-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.28 | BC Kalev | 81 : 63 | Tal Tech |
| 2023.12.30 | Tal Tech | 64 : 67 | BC Kalev |
| 2023.03.20 | Tal Tech | 84 : 102 | BC Kalev |
| 2022.12.23 | BC Kalev | 105 : 69 | Tal Tech |
| 2022.05.25 | BC Kalev | 79 : 68 | Tal Tech |
| 2022.05.22 | Tal Tech | 63 : 77 | BC Kalev |
| 2022.05.20 | BC Kalev | 85 : 75 | Tal Tech |
| 2022.03.12 | Tal Tech | 78 : 84 | BC Kalev |
| 2019.01.06 | Tal Tech | 66 : 100 | BC Kalev |
| 2018.10.18 | BC Kalev | 107 : 68 | Tal Tech |