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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Estonia Cup Estonia · Estonia Cup - Final
Tartu UlikoolHOME · -
84 : 662014.12.22 · 종료
Rakvere TarvasAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +50.5%
VALUE EDGE+50.5%
FAIR ODDS1.98
GRADEA
Tartu UlikoolAnalysis MetricsRakvere Tarvas
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-4.17 Point MarginHigher is better -16.33
173.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.00
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
1.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.1 / 15
Prediction separation0.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
50.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
49.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tartu Ulikool
W · 84-61W · 76-55L · 61-74W · 59-62W · 69-71
Rakvere Tarvas
W · 73-74L · 82-88W · 77-54W · 76-59L · 91-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.12Rakvere Tarvas87 : 99Tartu Ulikool
2022.11.06Tartu Ulikool98 : 76Rakvere Tarvas
2022.04.14Rakvere Tarvas89 : 98Tartu Ulikool
2021.04.08Rakvere Tarvas80 : 76Tartu Ulikool
2014.12.22Tartu Ulikool84 : 66Rakvere Tarvas
2013.12.22Tartu Ulikool97 : 70Rakvere Tarvas