Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Estonia Cup Estonia · Estonia Cup - Semi-finals

BC KalevHOME · -

73 : 742014.12.21 · 종료

Rakvere TarvasAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY40.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +59.8%

VALUE EDGE+59.8%

FAIR ODDS1.67

GRADEA

BC KalevAnalysis MetricsRakvere Tarvas

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-0.17 Point MarginHigher is better -16.33

167.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.00

71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 11.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.7 / 15

Prediction separation8.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

59.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

40.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

BC Kalev

L · 69-63L · 73-83W · 83-72W · 81-87W · 70-80

Rakvere Tarvas

L · 82-88W · 77-54W · 76-59L · 91-63W · 70-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.02.18	Rakvere Tarvas	73 : 85	BC Kalev
2022.10.05	BC Kalev	111 : 65	Rakvere Tarvas
2022.03.17	BC Kalev	95 : 60	Rakvere Tarvas
2021.05.04	BC Kalev	91 : 78	Rakvere Tarvas
2021.05.02	Rakvere Tarvas	83 : 98	BC Kalev
2014.12.21	BC Kalev	73 : 74	Rakvere Tarvas