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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Estonia Cup Estonia · Estonia Cup - Semi-finals
Tartu UlikoolHOME · -
84 : 612014.12.21 · 종료
Tal TechAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.1%
VALUE EDGE+71.1%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEB
Tartu UlikoolAnalysis MetricsTal Tech
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-4.17 Point MarginHigher is better +1.50
173.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 135.00
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 62.5%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tartu Ulikool
W · 76-55L · 61-74W · 59-62W · 69-71W · 97-70
Tal Tech
L · 113-68L · 116-54L · 73-69L · 59-83W · 80-67

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.25Tartu Ulikool65 : 41Tal Tech
2024.03.21Tal Tech83 : 87Tartu Ulikool
2023.11.25Tartu Ulikool65 : 73Tal Tech
2023.02.09Tartu Ulikool83 : 53Tal Tech
2022.10.06Tal Tech69 : 81Tartu Ulikool
2022.05.14Tal Tech85 : 90Tartu Ulikool
2022.05.12Tartu Ulikool77 : 62Tal Tech
2022.05.08Tal Tech67 : 75Tartu Ulikool
2022.03.17Tal Tech84 : 80Tartu Ulikool
2021.03.01Tal Tech78 : 95Tartu Ulikool