Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Estonia Cup
Estonia · Estonia Cup - Quarter-finals
Rakvere TarvasHOME · -
76 : 592014.11.19 · 종료
RaplaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.0%
VALUE EDGE+66.0%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADEA
Rakvere TarvasAnalysis MetricsRapla
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-16.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.58
169.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.25
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.8 / 15
Prediction separation13.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rakvere Tarvas
L · 91-63W · 70-76W · 89-65W · 61-109W · 112-72
Rapla
L · 72-76W · 81-104L · 88-67W · 70-71W · 95-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.02.12 | Rakvere Tarvas | 59 : 102 | Rapla |
| 2022.10.12 | Rapla | 98 : 64 | Rakvere Tarvas |
| 2022.03.09 | Rapla | 79 : 69 | Rakvere Tarvas |
| 2021.05.15 | Rapla | 84 : 81 | Rakvere Tarvas |
| 2021.05.14 | Rakvere Tarvas | 71 : 74 | Rapla |
| 2021.05.12 | Rapla | 79 : 82 | Rakvere Tarvas |
| 2021.05.09 | Rakvere Tarvas | 73 : 90 | Rapla |
| 2021.05.08 | Rapla | 73 : 77 | Rakvere Tarvas |
| 2021.04.17 | Rapla | 83 : 81 | Rakvere Tarvas |
| 2021.02.20 | Rakvere Tarvas | 72 : 84 | Rapla |