Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Estonia Cup
Estonia · Estonia Cup - Quarter-finals
Tartu UlikoolHOME · -
76 : 552014.11.08 · 종료
Tallinna KalevAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.6%
VALUE EDGE+58.6%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADES
Tartu UlikoolAnalysis MetricsTallinna Kalev
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-4.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-13.83
173.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.17
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation7.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tartu Ulikool
L · 61-74W · 59-62W · 69-71W · 97-70L · 82-64
Tallinna Kalev
W · 72-54L · 73-63L · 68-86L · 86-75W · 83-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.03 | Tartu Ulikool | 87 : 71 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2023.11.02 | Tallinna Kalev | 63 : 77 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2023.01.07 | Tallinna Kalev | 72 : 78 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2022.10.01 | Tartu Ulikool | 72 : 70 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2022.03.13 | Tallinna Kalev | 80 : 92 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2021.04.17 | Tartu Ulikool | 86 : 61 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2019.04.18 | Tartu Ulikool | 77 : 83 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2019.04.13 | Tallinna Kalev | 87 : 70 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2019.04.10 | Tartu Ulikool | 78 : 73 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2019.02.07 | Tallinna Kalev | 82 : 84 | Tartu Ulikool |