Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Estonia Cup Estonia · Estonia Cup - Quarter-finals

ValgaHOME · -

63 : 802014.10.09 · 종료

Tal TechAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY50.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +50.5%

VALUE EDGE+50.5%

FAIR ODDS1.98

GRADEA

ValgaAnalysis MetricsTal Tech

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

-11.42 Point MarginHigher is better +1.50

151.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 135.00

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 62.5%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 10.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.7 / 15

Prediction separation0.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

49.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

50.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Valga

W · 101-76L · 101-95

Tal Tech

W · 86-102W · 126-44

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2019.03.24	Tal Tech	78 : 66	Valga
2018.12.16	Valga	64 : 87	Tal Tech
2014.11.27	Valga	73 : 69	Tal Tech
2014.11.08	Tal Tech	80 : 67	Valga
2014.10.09	Valga	63 : 80	Tal Tech