Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
LNB
Dominican-Republic · LNB - Semi-finals
LeonesHOME · -
78 : 812023.07.17 · 종료
Reales de la VegaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME51.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+51.2%
VALUE EDGE+51.2%
FAIR ODDS1.95
GRADEA
LeonesAnalysis MetricsReales de la Vega
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-7.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.58
183.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.75
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation1.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Leones
W · 72-73W · 87-84L · 120-112W · 79-71L · 112-97
Reales de la Vega
L · 72-73L · 87-84W · 120-112W · 99-96W · 81-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.06.20 | Leones | 95 : 93 | Reales de la Vega |
| 2025.05.25 | Reales de la Vega | 97 : 109 | Leones |
| 2024.07.10 | Leones | 79 : 80 | Reales de la Vega |
| 2024.06.19 | Reales de la Vega | 94 : 87 | Leones |
| 2023.07.19 | Reales de la Vega | 95 : 85 | Leones |
| 2023.07.17 | Leones | 78 : 81 | Reales de la Vega |
| 2023.07.15 | Reales de la Vega | 72 : 73 | Leones |
| 2023.07.13 | Leones | 87 : 84 | Reales de la Vega |
| 2023.07.11 | Reales de la Vega | 120 : 112 | Leones |
| 2023.06.24 | Leones | 121 : 110 | Reales de la Vega |