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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Denmark Cup Denmark · Denmark Cup - Quarter-finals
SvendborgHOME · -
86 : 842015.11.28 · 종료
Team FOG NaestvedAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +57.0%
VALUE EDGE+57.0%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADEA
SvendborgAnalysis MetricsTeam FOG Naestved
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
+6.83 Point MarginHigher is better +23.83
174.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.50
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.2 / 15
Prediction separation6.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
57.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
43.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Svendborg
W · 66-98L · 103-104L · 87-71W · 76-69W · 89-102
Team FOG Naestved
W · 51-89W · 103-104L · 79-86L · 102-101W · 84-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.16Team FOG Naestved86 : 83Svendborg
2026.05.08Svendborg80 : 95Team FOG Naestved
2026.05.05Team FOG Naestved111 : 87Svendborg
2026.05.01Svendborg63 : 75Team FOG Naestved
2026.04.28Team FOG Naestved88 : 101Svendborg
2026.03.31Team FOG Naestved92 : 90Svendborg
2026.03.13Svendborg83 : 86Team FOG Naestved
2025.12.28Svendborg97 : 96Team FOG Naestved
2025.11.13Team FOG Naestved106 : 78Svendborg
2019.01.20Team FOG Naestved78 : 85Svendborg