Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Basketligaen
Denmark · Basketligaen - Semi-finals
Team FOG NaestvedHOME · -
79 : 862015.04.21 · 종료
Bakken BearsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME26.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY73.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+73.4%
VALUE EDGE+73.4%
FAIR ODDS1.36
GRADEB
Team FOG NaestvedAnalysis MetricsBakken Bears
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+23.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+12.67
171.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.50
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Team FOG Naestved
L · 102-101W · 84-78L · 95-82W · 79-73L · 81-78
Bakken Bears
W · 102-101L · 84-78W · 95-82W · 76-63W · 77-82
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.09 | Team FOG Naestved | 80 : 77 | Bakken Bears |
| 2026.05.26 | Team FOG Naestved | 81 : 87 | Bakken Bears |
| 2026.05.22 | Bakken Bears | 98 : 86 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2026.05.19 | Team FOG Naestved | 81 : 91 | Bakken Bears |
| 2026.04.11 | Team FOG Naestved | 61 : 95 | Bakken Bears |
| 2026.03.20 | Bakken Bears | 115 : 89 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2026.02.17 | Team FOG Naestved | 110 : 103 | Bakken Bears |
| 2025.10.25 | Bakken Bears | 110 : 105 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2015.04.21 | Team FOG Naestved | 79 : 86 | Bakken Bears |
| 2015.04.17 | Bakken Bears | 102 : 101 | Team FOG Naestved |