Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Basketligaen
Denmark · Basketligaen - Semi-finals
Bakken BearsHOME · -
102 : 1012015.04.17 · 종료
Team FOG NaestvedAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.7%
VALUE EDGE+79.7%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEB
Bakken BearsAnalysis MetricsTeam FOG Naestved
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+12.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+23.83
173.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.50
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bakken Bears
L · 84-78W · 95-82W · 76-63W · 77-82W · 89-54
Team FOG Naestved
W · 84-78L · 95-82W · 79-73L · 81-78W · 94-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.09 | Team FOG Naestved | 80 : 77 | Bakken Bears |
| 2026.05.26 | Team FOG Naestved | 81 : 87 | Bakken Bears |
| 2026.05.22 | Bakken Bears | 98 : 86 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2026.05.19 | Team FOG Naestved | 81 : 91 | Bakken Bears |
| 2026.04.11 | Team FOG Naestved | 61 : 95 | Bakken Bears |
| 2026.03.20 | Bakken Bears | 115 : 89 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2026.02.17 | Team FOG Naestved | 110 : 103 | Bakken Bears |
| 2025.10.25 | Bakken Bears | 110 : 105 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2015.04.21 | Team FOG Naestved | 79 : 86 | Bakken Bears |
| 2015.04.17 | Bakken Bears | 102 : 101 | Team FOG Naestved |