Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Basketligaen
Denmark · Basketligaen - Quarter-finals
Team FOG NaestvedHOME · -
79 : 732015.04.03 · 종료
Herlev WolfpackAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.3%
VALUE EDGE+54.3%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADEA
Team FOG NaestvedAnalysis MetricsHerlev Wolfpack
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+23.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.92
171.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.58
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.7 / 15
Prediction separation3.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Team FOG Naestved
L · 81-78W · 94-83W · 76-90L · 56-65W · 67-76
Herlev Wolfpack
W · 81-78L · 94-83L · 76-90L · 83-93L · 95-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.04.03 | Team FOG Naestved | 79 : 73 | Herlev Wolfpack |
| 2015.03.31 | Herlev Wolfpack | 81 : 78 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2015.03.27 | Team FOG Naestved | 94 : 83 | Herlev Wolfpack |
| 2015.03.24 | Herlev Wolfpack | 76 : 90 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2015.02.10 | Herlev Wolfpack | 95 : 84 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2014.12.13 | Herlev Wolfpack | 71 : 81 | Team FOG Naestved |