Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Basketligaen Denmark · 27

AalborgHOME · -

69 : 812015.03.17 · 종료

VaerloseAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY61.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +61.7%

VALUE EDGE+61.7%

FAIR ODDS1.62

GRADEB

AalborgAnalysis MetricsVaerlose

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-14.42 Point MarginHigher is better -12.67

168.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.17

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

8.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.7 / 15

Prediction separation10.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

38.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

61.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Aalborg

W · 96-102L · 83-63L · 90-53L · 63-72L · 104-74

Vaerlose

L · 77-105L · 66-90L · 85-77L · 66-84L · 95-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2015.04.02	Vaerlose	89 : 74	Aalborg
2015.03.29	Aalborg	83 : 87	Vaerlose
2015.03.22	Vaerlose	83 : 66	Aalborg
2015.03.17	Aalborg	69 : 81	Vaerlose
2014.11.20	Aalborg	62 : 93	Vaerlose