Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Basketligaen
Denmark · 25
Team FOG NaestvedHOME · -
83 : 632015.03.06 · 종료
AalborgAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME80.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+80.9%
VALUE EDGE+80.9%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEA
Team FOG NaestvedAnalysis MetricsAalborg
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+23.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-13.75
171.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
168.58
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Team FOG Naestved
L · 70-74L · 79-74L · 79-95L · 95-84W · 89-70
Aalborg
L · 90-53L · 63-72L · 104-74W · 90-81L · 109-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.03.06 | Team FOG Naestved | 83 : 63 | Aalborg |
| 2015.01.03 | Aalborg | 61 : 84 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2014.11.07 | Aalborg | 73 : 93 | Team FOG Naestved |