Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Basketligaen Denmark · 24

Team FOG NaestvedHOME · -

70 : 742015.02.27 · 종료

HorsholmAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY44.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +55.4%

VALUE EDGE+55.4%

FAIR ODDS1.81

GRADEA

Team FOG NaestvedAnalysis MetricsHorsholm

83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+23.67 Point MarginHigher is better -12.25

171.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 158.08

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.9 / 15

Prediction separation4.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

55.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

44.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Team FOG Naestved

L · 79-74L · 79-95L · 95-84W · 89-70L · 74-71

Horsholm

W · 63-72W · 95-78W · 76-74L · 91-84L · 81-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2015.02.27	Team FOG Naestved	70 : 74	Horsholm
2014.12.31	Team FOG Naestved	92 : 81	Horsholm
2014.10.30	Horsholm	79 : 84	Team FOG Naestved