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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Basketligaen Denmark · 23
SvendborgHOME · -
79 : 742015.02.24 · 종료
Team FOG NaestvedAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +56.7%
VALUE EDGE+56.7%
FAIR ODDS1.76
GRADEA
SvendborgAnalysis MetricsTeam FOG Naestved
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
+9.92 Point MarginHigher is better +23.67
171.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.33
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%
9.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.5 / 15
Prediction separation5.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
56.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
43.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Svendborg
W · 104-74L · 76-74L · 81-75W · 95-60L · 80-78
Team FOG Naestved
L · 79-95L · 95-84W · 89-70L · 74-71L · 58-77

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.16Team FOG Naestved86 : 83Svendborg
2026.05.08Svendborg80 : 95Team FOG Naestved
2026.05.05Team FOG Naestved111 : 87Svendborg
2026.05.01Svendborg63 : 75Team FOG Naestved
2026.04.28Team FOG Naestved88 : 101Svendborg
2026.03.31Team FOG Naestved92 : 90Svendborg
2026.03.13Svendborg83 : 86Team FOG Naestved
2025.12.28Svendborg97 : 96Team FOG Naestved
2025.11.13Team FOG Naestved106 : 78Svendborg
2019.01.20Team FOG Naestved78 : 85Svendborg