Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Basketligaen
Denmark · 22
Team FOG NaestvedHOME · -
79 : 952015.02.17 · 종료
HorsensAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME25.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY74.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+74.7%
VALUE EDGE+74.7%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEB
Team FOG NaestvedAnalysis MetricsHorsens
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+23.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.00
171.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
168.83
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Team FOG Naestved
L · 95-84W · 89-70L · 74-71L · 58-77W · 71-97
Horsens
W · 87-92W · 107-78W · 88-78W · 71-104W · 80-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.27 | Horsens | 73 : 101 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2026.04.21 | Horsens | 103 : 82 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2026.03.06 | Team FOG Naestved | 100 : 77 | Horsens |
| 2026.02.02 | Team FOG Naestved | 82 : 87 | Horsens |
| 2015.02.17 | Team FOG Naestved | 79 : 95 | Horsens |
| 2014.12.16 | Horsens | 80 : 70 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2014.10.21 | Team FOG Naestved | 79 : 88 | Horsens |