Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Basketligaen
Denmark · 20
HorsensHOME · -
107 : 782015.02.06 · 종료
VaerloseAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.9%
VALUE EDGE+73.9%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADES
HorsensAnalysis MetricsVaerlose
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+4.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.67
168.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.17
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Horsens
W · 88-78W · 71-104W · 80-78W · 68-88W · 94-64
Vaerlose
W · 74-71L · 101-66W · 76-91L · 77-84L · 88-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.03 | Horsens | 99 : 79 | Vaerlose |
| 2025.11.02 | Horsens | 98 : 72 | Vaerlose |
| 2025.10.26 | Vaerlose | 60 : 74 | Horsens |
| 2015.02.06 | Horsens | 107 : 78 | Vaerlose |
| 2014.12.05 | Vaerlose | 68 : 76 | Horsens |
| 2014.10.14 | Vaerlose | 63 : 91 | Horsens |