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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Basketligaen Denmark · 17
RandersHOME · -
71 : 972015.01.16 · 종료
Team FOG NaestvedAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK AWAY 53.3% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +55.2%
VALUE EDGE+55.2%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
RandersAnalysis MetricsTeam FOG Naestved
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
+12.33 Point MarginHigher is better +23.67
179.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.33
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation4.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
44.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
55.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Randers
L · 76-91L · 123-100L · 72-81L · 99-84W · 77-87
Team FOG Naestved
W · 76-79W · 61-84W · 92-81L · 80-70W · 71-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.13Randers98 : 84Team FOG Naestved
2026.04.02Randers122 : 94Team FOG Naestved
2026.03.17Team FOG Naestved105 : 104Randers
2026.02.08Randers98 : 116Team FOG Naestved
2025.10.10Team FOG Naestved101 : 90Randers
2015.03.10Randers67 : 76Team FOG Naestved
2015.01.16Randers71 : 97Team FOG Naestved
2014.11.14Team FOG Naestved86 : 103Randers