Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Basketligaen
Denmark · 16
SvendborgHOME · -
76 : 792015.01.09 · 종료
Team FOG NaestvedAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+52.7%
VALUE EDGE+52.7%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADEA
SvendborgAnalysis MetricsTeam FOG Naestved
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+9.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+23.67
171.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.33
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
5.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation2.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Svendborg
W · 81-78W · 60-86W · 91-74W · 80-90W · 88-98
Team FOG Naestved
W · 61-84W · 92-81L · 80-70W · 71-81L · 75-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.16 | Team FOG Naestved | 86 : 83 | Svendborg |
| 2026.05.08 | Svendborg | 80 : 95 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2026.05.05 | Team FOG Naestved | 111 : 87 | Svendborg |
| 2026.05.01 | Svendborg | 63 : 75 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2026.04.28 | Team FOG Naestved | 88 : 101 | Svendborg |
| 2026.03.31 | Team FOG Naestved | 92 : 90 | Svendborg |
| 2026.03.13 | Svendborg | 83 : 86 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2025.12.28 | Svendborg | 97 : 96 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2025.11.13 | Team FOG Naestved | 106 : 78 | Svendborg |
| 2019.01.20 | Team FOG Naestved | 78 : 85 | Svendborg |