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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Basketligaen Denmark · 14
VaerloseHOME · -
60 : 862014.12.31 · 종료
SvendborgAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME30.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY69.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +69.8%
VALUE EDGE+69.8%
FAIR ODDS1.43
GRADES
VaerloseAnalysis MetricsSvendborg
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
-12.67 Point MarginHigher is better +9.92
169.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.58
0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
13.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 13.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
30.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
69.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vaerlose
W · 79-82L · 68-76L · 69-73W · 62-93L · 73-84
Svendborg
W · 91-74W · 80-90W · 88-98W · 92-95L · 69-91

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.08Svendborg86 : 59Vaerlose
2026.02.14Svendborg100 : 69Vaerlose
2025.10.10Vaerlose68 : 124Svendborg
2015.02.27Svendborg85 : 77Vaerlose
2014.12.31Vaerlose60 : 86Svendborg
2014.10.30Svendborg78 : 73Vaerlose