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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Basketligaen Denmark · 14
Team FOG NaestvedHOME · -
92 : 812014.12.31 · 종료
HorsholmAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +60.6%
VALUE EDGE+60.6%
FAIR ODDS1.65
GRADEA
Team FOG NaestvedAnalysis MetricsHorsholm
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+23.67 Point MarginHigher is better -11.67
171.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.33
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 13.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation9.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
60.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
39.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Team FOG Naestved
L · 80-70W · 71-81L · 75-86W · 69-73L · 88-75
Horsholm
L · 80-90L · 103-96L · 79-95L · 97-77L · 80-123

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.02.27Team FOG Naestved70 : 74Horsholm
2014.12.31Team FOG Naestved92 : 81Horsholm
2014.10.30Horsholm79 : 84Team FOG Naestved