Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Basketligaen
Denmark · 13
HorsensHOME · -
80 : 702014.12.16 · 종료
Team FOG NaestvedAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY44.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.7%
VALUE EDGE+55.7%
FAIR ODDS1.80
GRADEA
HorsensAnalysis MetricsTeam FOG Naestved
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+4.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+23.67
168.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.33
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.7 / 15
Prediction separation4.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Horsens
L · 81-86W · 68-76W · 105-82W · 70-82W · 69-91
Team FOG Naestved
W · 71-81L · 75-86W · 69-73L · 88-75L · 86-103
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.27 | Horsens | 73 : 101 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2026.04.21 | Horsens | 103 : 82 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2026.03.06 | Team FOG Naestved | 100 : 77 | Horsens |
| 2026.02.02 | Team FOG Naestved | 82 : 87 | Horsens |
| 2015.02.17 | Team FOG Naestved | 79 : 95 | Horsens |
| 2014.12.16 | Horsens | 80 : 70 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2014.10.21 | Team FOG Naestved | 79 : 88 | Horsens |