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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Basketligaen Denmark · 11
Team FOG NaestvedHOME · -
75 : 862014.12.05 · 종료
SisuAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +54.7%
VALUE EDGE+54.7%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
Team FOG NaestvedAnalysis MetricsSisu
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+23.67 Point MarginHigher is better -12.33
171.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.33
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.0 / 15
Prediction separation4.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
54.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
45.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Team FOG Naestved
W · 69-73L · 88-75L · 86-103W · 73-93L · 82-88
Sisu
L · 88-98W · 97-77W · 114-87L · 104-85W · 86-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.02.05Team FOG Naestved89 : 70Sisu
2014.12.05Team FOG Naestved75 : 86Sisu
2014.10.14Sisu82 : 88Team FOG Naestved