Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Basketligaen
Denmark · 10
VaerloseHOME · -
69 : 732014.11.28 · 종료
Team FOG NaestvedAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME31.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+68.1%
VALUE EDGE+68.1%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADES
VaerloseAnalysis MetricsTeam FOG Naestved
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-12.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+23.67
169.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.33
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vaerlose
W · 62-93L · 73-84L · 100-70L · 66-74L · 78-73
Team FOG Naestved
L · 88-75L · 86-103W · 73-93L · 82-88W · 79-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.05 | Vaerlose | 62 : 95 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2025.12.17 | Vaerlose | 67 : 99 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2025.10.16 | Team FOG Naestved | 115 : 57 | Vaerlose |
| 2019.01.13 | Team FOG Naestved | 112 : 70 | Vaerlose |
| 2015.01.30 | Vaerlose | 74 : 71 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2014.11.28 | Vaerlose | 69 : 73 | Team FOG Naestved |
| 2014.10.09 | Team FOG Naestved | 68 : 65 | Vaerlose |